Market Analysis

Ottawa MLS® Home Sales Hold Steady in Lackluster September

October 6, 2023

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 946 units in September 2023. This was unchanged from September 2022.

Home sales were 29.6% below the five-year average and 23.6% below the 10-year average for the month of September. On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 9,889 units over the first nine months of the year. This was a large decline of 13% from the same period in 2022.

"Sales activity came in right on par with where it stood at the same time last year but was still running well below typical levels for a September," said Ken Dekker, OREB President. "New listings have surged in the past several months, which has caused overall inventories to begin gradually rising again. However, available supply is still low by historical standards, and we have ample room to absorb more listings coming on the market. Our market is also right in the middle of balanced territory, and while MLS® Benchmark prices are down from last year they are still trending at about the same levels from 2021."

By the Numbers – Average Prices*:

    The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures

  • * The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $643,600 in September 2023, nearly unchanged, up only 0.5% compared to September 2022.
  • * The benchmark price for single-family homes was $727,500, essentially unchanged, up just 0.6% on a year-over-year basis in September.
  • * By comparison, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units was $510,900, a small gain of 2.5% compared to a year earlier, while the benchmark apartment price was $422,300, falling by 1.1% from year-ago levels.
  • * The average price of homes sold in September 2023 was $675,412, increasing by 2.7% from September 2022. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $672,837, a decline of 6.5% from the first nine months of 2022.
  • * The dollar value of all home sales in September 2023 was $638.9 million, up modestly by 2.7% from the same month in 2022.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings:

  • * The number of new listings saw an increase of 9.8% from September 2022. There were 2,259 new residential listings in September 2023. New listings were 4.8% above the five-year average and 7% above the 10-year average for the month of September.
  • * Active residential listings numbered 2,997 units on the market at the end of September, a sizable gain of 14% from the end of September 2022. Active listings haven't been this high in the month of September in five years.
  • * Active listings were 33.9% above the five-year average and 18.5% below the 10-year average for the month of September.
  • * Months of inventory numbered 3.2 at the end of September 2023, up from the 2.8 months recorded at the end of September 2022 and below the long-run average of 3.3 months for this time of year. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

* OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.